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Analyzing 100 Years of Real Estate Price History in Manhattan

Analyzing 100 Years of Real Estate Price History in Manhattan

Analyzing 100 Years of Real Estate Price History in Manhattan

With the current state of real estate in New York and the potential growing bubble on Wall Street, more and more people are looking to diversify investments into real estate, particularly in New York City.

100 Years of NYC Price History

The 1910’s:

The surge in demand for housing, World War I
– Sale: $8 PPSF, Rent: $40/Mo.

The 1920’s:

The “Roaring Twenties”
Sale: $15 PPSF, Rent: $60/Mo.

The 1930’s:

The 1929 Stock Market Crash and “The Great Depression”
Sale: $5 PPSF, Rent: $45/Mo.

The 1940’s:

World War II
Sale: $8 PPSF, Rent: $50/Mo.

The 1950’s:

The post-World War II Housing Boom
Sale: $12 PPSF, Rent: $60/Mo.

1960’s:

The first condo building, World’s Fair, Building Boom
Sale: $25 PPSF, Rent: $200/Mo.

1970’s:

World Trade Center Completed, Near Bankruptcy, Finishes Stronger
Sale: $45 PPSF, Rent: $335/Mo.

1980’s:

Co-op Conversion Boom, “Black Monday” Stock Market Crash
Sale: $250 PPSF, Rent: $1,700/Mo.

1990’s:

From Recession to Lofts and the “Silicon Alley” Dot-Com Boom
Sale: $590 PPSF, Rent: $3,200/Mo.

2000’s:

9/11 to Housing Boom to Lehman
Sale: $1,200 PPSF, Rent: $3,800/Mo.

The 2010’s:

Quick Rebound, Tax Credit, and Housing Seasons
– Sale: $1,070 PPSF, Average Rent: $3,500/Mo.

2020

COVID-19 Pandemic
– Sale: $1,142 PPSF, Average Rent: $3,625 /Mo.

(Source: RealPlus, REBNY, New York Times & Jonathan Miller)

History Shows

The past 100 years show real estate prices have continued to rise and have been appreciated almost 1,000 times every decade. The prices doubled from the ’50s to the ’60s and nearly doubled from the ’60s to the ’70s. Once New York City came out of bankruptcy in the late ’70s, international buyers noticed New York real estate. Prices rose almost six times in the ’80s and more than doubled in the ’90s. The average price for a sale in 2016 was $1,470 Price Per Square Foot, while the average rent in Manhattan today is $4,374.

There are many reasons to be optimistic about the future of New York real estate: the local economy and its diverse industries that employ New Yorkers and attract new highly skilled professionals from around the country and internationally. New York today is indeed the world’s cultural capital that is up and running 24/7. The city’s myriad of cultural activities, universities, restaurants, museums, and theater, among many others, create an exceptional lifestyle.

The Future

It fits well with today’s millennials, generation X, and baby boomers moving back to the city from their “empty nests” in suburbia. New York’s rich history, location, political stability, lifestyle, and industries attract investors and foreign buyers alike. Never in the city’s history has it experienced such a high inflow of foreign capital and an interest of foreign nationals to live in New York City, either full or part-time.

An increase of 375,300 residents (or 4.6 percent) from April 2010. The U.S. Census Bureau has estimated New York City’s population at 8,550,405 as of July 2015. The population is forecasted to grow by 9 million by 2020.

Housing remains and will continue to stay in high demand for many years to come. The notion that the prices are too high does not consider the global market, the population, and income growth in New York City.

The local economy no longer solely depends on the economic conditions of New York City, New York State, or the United States. Today’s New York industries cater to the world. Finance, entertainment, law, shipping, and technology are just a few significant contributors to world economies. As the saying goes: “Just buy it and hold.” You won’t be disappointed.

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